“Humanity has so far played the role
of planetary killer, concerned only with its own short-term survival. We
have cut much of the heart out of biodiversity. The conservation ethic,
whether expressed as taboo, totemism, or science, has generally come too
late and too little to save the most vulnerable of life forms.”--Edward O.
Wilson
The extinction rate today is
catastrophically high, estimated between one thousand and ten thousand
times the rate before human beings began to exert intense pressure on the
environment.
The time period prior to this massive
destructive phenomenon is termed the ‘Edenic period’ by scientists.
In Edenic times extinction rates
averaged one species per million per year. The Edenic rate of new species
formation was slightly greater than one species per million each year.
“Actually, the species birthrate was
slightly higher than the species death rate, allowing the standing global
number to grow slowly through geological time. Biodiversity...is today
about twice as great as that averaged over the past 450 million
years.”--Edward O. Wilson
The Edenic period, the period of
natural biodiversity as measured by paleontologists, began with the
Phanerozoic Era (450 million years ago) and ended with about 10 million
years ago with the ascent of Neolithic people.
“Three independent measures have been
used to arrive at the present species extinction rate; the methods are
persuasively consistent...
...Although it is possible to predict
species extinction for the near future--say, over the next decade or
two--such a projection is impossible for the more distant future.
The obvious reason is that the trajectory depends on human choice.
If the decision were taken today to freeze all conservation efforts at
their current level while allowing the same rates of deforestation and
other forms of environmental destruction to continue, it is safe to say
that at least a fifth of the species of plants and animals would be gone
or committed to early extinction by 2030, and half by the end of the
century...
...If, on the other hand, an
all-out effort is made to save the biologically richest parts of the
natural world, the amount of loss can be cut by at least half.”--Edward
O. Wilson
The extinction rate steeply
accelerates between 2030 and 2100, with planetary annihilation jumping
from 20% to 50% in 70 years; or extermination devouring a fifth to half of
all earth’s species. Part of the reason for this drastic leap is due to
the dwindling of areas that support life; as territory disappears, species
densities become compacted into smaller areas. Each land unit concentrates
more biodiversity; more is gouged with each unit cut; and increasing
competition for space leads to eventual ecosystemic collapse. un-figured
prediction factors, involve the effect of species disappearance from
crucial niches, such as the loss of a bat that is the sole pollinator of a
specific flowering plant or tree, or of termites which form the principal
staple of a South American anteater. As ecosystems begin to collapse, the
process may increase in unforeseen ways due to breaks in cycles of
biotic energy distribution. If left unchecked, the extinction potential
predicted within a 100 year span of time, surpass the rate of dinosaur
extinction tenfold.